If Kyle Dubas gives Mitch Marner $11 million dollars, then he is not doing his job as general manager.
The idea that any winger is as valuable as an elite centre is ludicrous (as Justin Bourne eloquently highlighted in a recent piece in The Athletic). He certainly doesn’t deserve more than Patrick Kane. He MIGHT ultimately deserve that, but is he twice as good as Brad Marchand (who is making around $6.125m right now)? I’ll be fascinated to see what Rantanen gets.
I bet it’s nowhere NEAR eleven million.
If that’s what Marner (or his dad or agent) are holding for, call his bluff and see if the offer sheet comes. I doubt it, because an offer sheet not only means overpaying via salary (which is bad enough), but surrendering FOUR first round draft picks and draft picks are today’s GOLD in a salary cap world.
Call his bluff.
Take the four 1st round picks and then use the money and get a Ferland and an elite defenceman.
Remember, the goal is to build a TEAM, not just a collection of stars. You can’t build sustainable depth if you keep overpaying your players.
Offer sheets are SO tricky. You have to pay above market (to induce the player to leave his team) AND (more problematic) surrender picks. Totally defeats the purpose of going young. So you’d better be right and strongly in need. Makes more sense for a second tier player like Kapanen or Johnsson, but it would be insane for any team to offer Marner one.
Mitchell Marner is beloved in Toronto and can collect millions more in endorsement dollars here than anywhere else. All the more reason why he shouldn’t get too greedy. He’ll never do as well as he will in the Toronto market, both in terms of affection and endorsement dollars. But that can all evaporate with one bad contract negotiation. How do you think the majority of fans feel about Willie Nylander these days (notwithstanding those in the conspicuous minority of defending him)? And you simply don’t build a team with a bunch of elite wingers.
You need goaltending, top quality defence and be strong up the middle.